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Research8h ago

Open AI Models Lag Behind Closed Ones by Months, Study Finds

LessWrong1 min brief

In brief

  • A new study reveals that open-source AI models, which anyone can download and use, are falling behind closed models-those accessible only through APIs-by about 4 to 10 months.
  • The research analyzed data from 17 benchmarks, both public and private, to gauge the gap in performance between these two types of models.
  • On private benchmarks, where data isn’t publicly available, open models lag by 8-10 months, while on public ones, the gap is narrower at 4-6 months.
  • The study highlights a concerning trend: since January 2025, this gap has been widening rather than shrinking.
    • This suggests that closed models are improving faster or being optimized more effectively than their open-source counterparts.
  • The findings raise questions about the future of AI development-will the gap continue to grow, or will open models catch up?
  • Researchers emphasize that while public benchmarks underestimate the true performance gap, they still offer valuable insights into model capabilities.
  • As AI technology evolves, this study underscores the importance of transparency and access in fostering innovation.
  • While closed models may hold advantages in fine-tuning and optimization, the progress of open-source models could depend on how developers and researchers adapt to these challenges.

Terms in this brief

open-source AI models
AI models that anyone can access, modify, and use freely, often through platforms like GitHub. They allow collaboration and innovation but may lag behind proprietary models due to limited resources for fine-tuning and optimization.
closed models
AI models accessible only through application programming interfaces (APIs), controlled by companies or organizations. These models can be optimized more effectively, leading to better performance than open-source versions.

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